WGC Mexico Championship Golf Prediction - Golf Chapultepec, Mexico
Paul Krishnamurty has scoured both fields in search of value bets at or more As one would expect in a World Golf Championship week, the gulf between the two main events is enormous.
The Tshwane Open involves numerous non-winners with little pedigree trading below [ At the WGC Mexico Championship , our price range includes major champions and all manner of multiple winners. Neither event, it must be said, is particularly fertile territory for outsider backers. Among five Tshwane renewals, four winners were very obvious and the other a respected outsider. The inaugural Mexico Championship produced one of the most obvious leaderboards of Nevertheless here's three capable of defying the market.
Given that South Africans have won all three renewals at Pretoria CC and provided the bulk of top finishers in and , it is no surprise to see their journeymen players trading much lower than usual. However the home advantage angle can be overstated as players become better accustomed to the course. Last year, only four of 11 top-ten finishers were South African.
It may be that from now on, the more important angles to follow are driving distance and form in South Africa. As Steve Rawlings explains in his comprehensive preview , past stats at Pretoria suggest accuracy off the tee is much less significant than power. That said, shorter hitters that thrive on and around the small greens can also contend. Back Tapio Pulkkanen 2u [ If it's a bomber we're looking for, last year's Challenge Tour Order of Merit winner fits the bill.
Tapio Pulkkanen hits it a country mile and has already contended in South Africa this year, when third in the Joburg Open. At 27, Pulkkanen is likely to achieve more than his compatriot in the long-term. Scandinavian golf is so strong nowadays that anyone who wins regularly on the Nordic Tour is worth monitoring.
Pulkkanen won six times in that company. Given the lack of strength in depth, I'm amazed that Choi appears to have completely slipped under the market radar. It appears yet another case of nationality bias as mostly Western punters overlook or at least under-rate the plethora of emerging Asian talent. This one is also a must-bet for a Top 20 Finish. Choi's career has been primarily based in Korea, where he's won four times and produced a stack of high finishes.
I wonder how many Sunshine Tour journeymen - many of whom are a third or a quarter of these odds - could boast that? He's already proven his liking for South African conditions, finishing eighth in Joburg following on from a top in Mauritius. Significantly, he putted well on both occasions, ranking sixth and 26th.
During the decades of hosting the year's first World Golf Championship, Doral proved an absolute graveyard for outsider backers as the cream nearly always rose to the top. When moving to Mexico last year, it apparently kept the trends. They begin their campaign against the holders and will be looking to put in a respectable performance.
These two sides met at the World Cup with Germany emerging winners that day. Michael Ballack scored the winner. At the end of March, Germany drew with Spain in an international friendly before losing to Brazil. Mexico were winners against Iceland in March and will be hoping to use that as a springboard. They are the defending champions and their squad is continually getting stronger. Joachim Low has signed a new contract and they are all pulling in the same direction.
They begin the game as a short price but they should win this opening encounter at a canter. They should encounter very few problems in Moscow and to secure victory by at least a two-goal margin is highly likely.
It was all going swimmingly for the current holders, winning all ten of their qualifying matches as they attempt to become the first nation to lift the trophy twice in a row since Brazil 56 years ago. Thomas Muller just loves a World Cup. Despite having never scored at a European Championships, the Bayern Munich man netted five times in South Africa in and returned the same tally in Brazil four years later.
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